TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:27 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Louisville vs. NC State.
Exact margin markets for Louisville vs. NC State.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different exact margins. The price of each contract reflects the probability that specific margin will be the final result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief of the market participants. The most heavily traded margins currently indicate a strong expectation for a Louisville victory by a significant margin, as reflected in the current price action. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final margin of victory will be determined by the official score reported by the governing body of college basketball. Once the official result is available, Polymarket will verify the outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct margin will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect margins will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisville or NC State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected lineup adjustments could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about weather conditions or other external factors that might impact the game's dynamics could influence trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations, though the market often corrects for biases over time.