TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, resolving based on whether the team's actual score meets or exceeds that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Louisville and NC State in their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold (e.g., NC State over 13.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Analyzing the differences can be a valuable part of your overall research.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Louisville and NC State will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will then determine which contracts correspond to the actual team totals achieved during the game. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on the contract's value at resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the final results to understand how this market settles.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Louisville or NC State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is ultimately driven by traders' own assessments of the likely outcome.