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$154.3b

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$228,458,490

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Louisville vs NC St.: 3rd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Louisville vs NC St.?

Volume:
$47,492

NC St. wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

NC St. wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 6:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

NC St. wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,780
N/A
N/A
$6,757
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,366
N/A
N/A
$7,364
Settled
No
kalshi

NC St. wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,473
N/A
N/A
$2,724
Settled
No
kalshi

NC St. wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,031
N/A
N/A
$5,607
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,572
N/A
N/A
$4,546
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,181
N/A
N/A
$3,901
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,162
N/A
N/A
$3,162
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,574
N/A
N/A
$2,558
Settled
No
kalshi

NC St. wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,194
N/A
N/A
$1,131
Settled
No
kalshi

NC St. wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,159
N/A
N/A
$1,128
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

These markets focus on predicting the point differential between Louisville and NC State specifically during the third quarter of their college football game. Outcomes are determined solely by scores achieved in that quarter, making it a test of short-term performance rather than overall game dominance.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Louisville vs NC State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins the third quarter by the stated margin—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or completion status.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Louisville vs NC State spread tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the perceived probability of different outcomes changes over time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $47,492, with $42,428 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a visual representation of where traders are placing their bets, offering insight into expectations for the 3rd quarter spread of this college basketball game.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on information not yet fully priced into traditional markets. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the spread, they can take the opposite position, potentially driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. It's a dynamic comparison, and discrepancies can appear.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Louisville vs NC State spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which influences the market price. The goal is to accurately forecast the final 3rd quarter spread, and the market price reflects the collective intelligence of those participating.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the 3rd quarter of the Louisville vs NC State basketball game will determine the winning contract. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to settle this market. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and the final spread.

Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first half of the game, or even pre-game reports on team morale, could also cause the market to move. Significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also influence trading on Kalshi, as traders react to perceived value discrepancies. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the Louisville vs NC State spread.