TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and NC State, bettors can speculate on which team will score more points specifically in the second quarter. The outcome depends solely on the points each team accumulates during that 15-minute segment, ignoring the overall game result.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the second quarter of the Louisville vs NC State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Points scored in any quarter other than the second do not affect the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives from traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, you may see the odds on Kalshi converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds, depending on how the market interprets the new data. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the market. Currently, the market indicates a certain level of confidence in NC St. winning the 2nd quarter, but this is constantly evolving based on trading activity and new information. The volume traded provides insight into how strongly traders feel about each potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Louisville vs NC State game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result, and the platform will finalize all payouts.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Louisville or NC State would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected lineup adjustments could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, real-time performance during the first quarter of the game, or even pre-game analysis from sports analysts, could lead to substantial price movements. Unexpected weather conditions, if the game is outdoors, could also be a catalyst. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.