TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:14 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either team wins the second half of a college football game, focusing specifically on the point differential after halftime. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which a team must win the half to settle the bet.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Louisville vs NC State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For any market, if the designated team achieves a point differential exceeding the specified threshold in that half, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all open markets will resolve based on the final official result of that game. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will instead resolve to a fair price, reflecting equitable settlement under those circumstances. The markets cover a range of point-differential thresholds for both teams, from modest margins up to substantial leads, allowing participants to assess varying levels of performance confidence for each half-time outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on information not yet fully incorporated by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in with their perspectives. If there’s a significant difference, it might indicate that prediction market traders have access to, or place greater importance on, different information than sportsbook operators. It’s a useful comparison point for anyone analyzing the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus view of the second half spread in the Louisville vs NC State game.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Louisville vs NC State game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will be settled at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisville or NC State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, and any adjustments to team strategies, can all contribute to price movements as traders react to the evolving situation and reassess the likely second-half spread.