TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of a college football game between Louisville and NC State. Each outcome depends on whether the combined points scored by both teams exceed a specific numerical value during that initial period.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of the Louisville vs NC State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points; if the combined score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially emphasize expert opinions, this market can quickly incorporate a broader range of perspectives, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Louisville vs NC State 1st quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. A higher price indicates a greater perceived probability, while a lower price suggests a lower probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter of the Louisville vs NC State game will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded the threshold established by the market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisville or NC State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift predictions. Public sentiment, reflected in betting trends and social media discussions, can also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategies or coaching decisions could impact how traders assess the likelihood of different outcomes in the Louisville vs NC State 1st quarter.