TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 9:12 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Louisville City and Pittsburgh will determine whether more than a certain number of goals are scored within the standard 90-minute regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Louisville City vs Pittsburgh professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for Oct 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts for resolution. Each market has a different threshold for the total goals needed to resolve as 'Yes', ranging from more than 0.5 goals to more than 5.5 goals. Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither guarantees accuracy. This market provides an alternative viewpoint to consider.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total goals scored in the Louisville City vs Pittsburgh match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely goal total. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final outcome will be determined by the total number of goals scored in the Louisville City vs Pittsburgh match, as officially recorded by the league. The resolution will reflect the actual goals scored, regardless of any pre-match expectations or predictions. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct goal total will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Louisville City or Pittsburgh would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking team news, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.