TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
The contest between Louisville City and Indy Eleven will settle whether more than zero goals are scored during the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not counting extra time or penalty shootout goals.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Louisville City vs Indy Eleven professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a different threshold for resolution: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by individual traders on Kalshi, can react more quickly to new information and changing perceptions about the likely outcome of the Louisville City vs Indy Eleven match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total goals scored in the Louisville City vs Indy Eleven match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and place orders, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the confidence level surrounding different potential outcomes, and the price movements can signal shifts in sentiment as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Louisville City vs Indy Eleven match, as officially recorded by the league organizers, will determine the winning outcome. Any goals scored during regulation time or added time will be counted towards the final total. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Louisville City or Indy Eleven could significantly impact expectations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Furthermore, team form, recent performance, and tactical adjustments announced by the coaches could all contribute to shifts in the market. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the match itself could also cause price fluctuations.