TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the USL Championship match between Louisville City and Indy Eleven scheduled for October 17, 2026, determining if each team scores at least one goal during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, not counting goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts.
If Louisville City and Indy Eleven both score a goal in the Louisville City vs Indy Eleven USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into the perceived value of various possibilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Louisville City vs Indy Eleven match. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of both teams scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Louisville City vs Indy Eleven match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and this information will be verified against reliable sources. The final price of the contracts will reflect whether both teams scored or not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Louisville City or Indy Eleven would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected outcome and shift trading activity. Additionally, any major tactical adjustments announced by either team's coach could influence traders' perceptions and move the market. Unexpected lineup changes right before kickoff could also lead to price fluctuations.