TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Louisville City and Indy Eleven. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the game within regular time, or if the match will end in a draw. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Louisville City vs Indy Eleven USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either team’s market occurs only if that specific team wins in regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score at the end of regular time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The operator emphasizes it is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can express that view by trading in this market, potentially driving the price away from the sportsbook's initial assessment. This dynamic can lead to prediction markets being more accurate than sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will become, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Louisville City vs Indy Eleven match, as determined by the league’s official standings. The final score and official result will be used to determine which outcome, if any, corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all lead to price movements. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes could also impact the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from individual participants or groups could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities and risks before the market resolves.