TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, resolving based on whether the team's actual score exceeds that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the official final point total scored by each team in the Louisiana vs Southern Miss college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more points than the stated threshold (e.g., Southern Miss over 6.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can lead to opportunities for arbitrage or simply a more accurate reflection of the true probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market's current probability assessment. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out $1 if the specified team total occurs. The closer the price is to $1, the higher the market believes the probability of that outcome. It's a dynamic system where supply and demand determine the odds.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for Louisiana and Southern Miss will be sourced from official game statistics. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual team totals match the thresholds defined within the market. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data to determine the winning contracts. The outcome will be determined by the official scorekeeping of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either Louisiana or Southern Miss would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting scoring, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also affect trader sentiment. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi from informed participants could create short-term price fluctuations as they express their views on the likely game outcome.