TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Louisiana and Southern Miss. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin during the first half.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Louisiana vs Southern Miss college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For Louisiana markets, resolution occurs if Louisiana leads by more than the specified margin at halftime; for Southern Miss markets, resolution requires Southern Miss leading by more than the stated margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the actual halftime score. If play does not begin within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty created by the cancellation or significant delay of the contest.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with sportsbook odds as the event approaches. However, there can be differences. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages or promotional offers, while this market is purely driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that market participants believe sportsbooks are mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. It's a useful comparison point for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. The current top market on Kalshi is for Louisiana wins 1H by over 10.5 points, though probabilities are not currently displayed.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the first half of the Louisiana vs Southern Miss game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event concludes and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisiana or Southern Miss teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could impact how traders assess the likely outcome. Even significant public betting patterns in sportsbooks could influence sentiment in this market.