TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Louisiana-Monroe and Troy. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin during the first half.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Louisiana-Monroe vs Troy college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins by more than the stated point margin in that half. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. No affiliation with the NCAA is implied, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and differing incentives among bettors. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market allows participants to directly assess the probability of an outcome. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the first half of the Louisiana-Monroe vs Troy game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing sports authority, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisiana-Monroe or Troy teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they impact playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public betting patterns, could all contribute to fluctuations in this market’s price leading up to Oct 24, 2026.