TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Louisiana-Monroe and South Alabama. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Louisiana-Monroe vs South Alabama college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each individual market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified point differential threshold is met or exceeded by the winning team; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The markets cover a range of possible margins from South Alabama winning by over 1.5 points to Louisiana-Monroe winning by over 10.5 points.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the game’s outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely result, or that one venue has incorporated information the other hasn’t. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Louisiana-Monroe vs South Alabama game. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific spread, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Louisiana-Monroe vs South Alabama game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Contracts will pay out $1 per share for winning contracts and $0 for losing contracts, based on whether the actual point spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contract. The market will close prior to the event’s completion to allow for accurate settlement.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the game takes place. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisiana-Monroe or South Alabama teams would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could influence traders’ perceptions and cause the price of contracts to fluctuate. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price movements.