TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The fight between Louis Jourdain and Timothy Angel Cuamba will have several possible outcomes based on which round each fighter wins by a decisive knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification. Each market tracks a specific fighter and round for such a victory.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified fighter wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in the specified round. A technical decision is treated as a decision and does not count as a win in any round. The fight is part of the UFC Fight Night event scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. Often, prediction markets can provide an early signal of potential outcomes, as they are less susceptible to biases that might influence sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant information is released or events unfold that impact perceptions of the fight.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jourdain vs. Cuamba fight, including whether a winner is determined by decision, knockout, technical knockout, or if the fight ends in a draw or no contest. The official result will be sourced from established sports news outlets and fight record databases to ensure an accurate and unbiased determination of the outcome for this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition would likely impact trading activity. Pre-fight press conferences and weigh-ins can also influence sentiment, as can analysis from boxing experts and media outlets. Unexpected betting patterns in sportsbooks, or significant shifts in public opinion, could also lead to price adjustments in this market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probabilities of either fighter winning will drive movement.