TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets covers all possible ways each fighter can win the match, including knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, or decision. There is also an outcome for a draw or no contest, which ends the fight without a clear winner.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified fighter wins by the specified method during the fight. Draw or no contest results trigger the corresponding market regardless of the winner. A technical decision is treated as a decision and does not count as a win by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification. The fight is part of the UFC Fight Night event scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible method of victory in the Jourdain vs Cuamba fight, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving traders insight into the level of demand and supply for each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the collective forecast of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The method of victory declared by the official result of the Jourdain vs Cuamba fight will determine the winning contract. This includes outcomes like knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification. The resolution will be based on the official record of the fight, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 18, 2026. News regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt adjustments in this market. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or tactical approaches leading up to the Jourdain vs Cuamba fight could lead to shifts in the implied probabilities and trading volume, as traders react to new information and reassess their forecasts.