TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:02 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a soccer league, where the outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score a goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. This event highlights the teams' offensive capabilities and strategic performance within the standard match duration. The focus is solely on the regular play period, excluding any extended periods of play.
If Loudoun United FC and Indy Eleven both score a goal in the Loudoun United FC vs Indy Eleven USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering different insights than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors like team statistics, injuries, and home-field advantage. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to specialized knowledge, prediction markets can sometimes outperform them, especially as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Loudoun vs Indy Eleven match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts (believing both teams will score), the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and provides a real-time assessment of the likelihood of the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Loudoun United FC and Indy Eleven score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The official result of the match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning side of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes and the outcome is officially verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Loudoun United FC or Indy Eleven would likely have an impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could drive trading activity and alter the price. Unexpected team lineup announcements or tactical changes could also be catalysts for movement in this market.