TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between two teams competing in the USL Championship. The focus is solely on determining which team will secure a victory within the standard 90-minute regulation time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The result hinges purely on the final score after the allocated game duration.
The event resolves based on the result of the Loudoun United FC vs Indy Eleven professional USL Championship soccer match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Loudoun United FC wins, the 'Loudoun United FC' market resolves to Yes. If Indy Eleven wins, the 'Indy Eleven' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result within regular time.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large amount of trading occurs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the event’s likelihood, based on available information and analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 4, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities of different outcomes. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as venue changes or significant rule alterations, could also trigger shifts in the market. Any information that alters the assessment of either team’s chances of winning will likely be reflected in the trading volume and price movements on Kalshi.