TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the same soccer match. Outcomes are determined by whether one team wins by a specified number of goals more than their opponent, considering only regular time.
This event assesses whether Loudoun United FC or Brooklyn FC wins the match by exceeding specific goal differentials within regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time), excluding extra time and penalties. Two sets of markets exist: one for Loudoun United FC winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and another for Brooklyn FC winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team achieves the required win margin; otherwise, it resolves to No. The markets operate independently, allowing for separate evaluations of each team's potential dominance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, making this a potentially valuable comparison for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread. The price reflects the probability of each outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders to buy or sell at specific prices, or market orders to execute trades immediately at the best available price. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to information and express their views, creating a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Loudoun United FC vs Brooklyn FC match. Any adjustments or official rulings made after the game will be considered in determining the final outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Loudoun United FC or Brooklyn FC would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or significant tactical shifts could lead to rapid price adjustments as traders incorporate new information into their predictions. Major upsets in other recent matches involving these teams might also shift expectations.