TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 12:40 PM EST
Kalshi
The opening map of this esports battle sets the tone for the entire match. Victory in map 1 gives one team an early advantage, making this a crucial segment of their overall strategy.
The market resolves to Yes if either LOUD or FURIA Esports wins map 1 of their CBLOL 2026 match scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT. Should the match or map be postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited prior to any play, the market settles at the fair market price. If play commences and a forfeiture occurs afterward, resolution adheres to the official result declared by the governing body overseeing the event.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and viewpoints that sportsbooks may not immediately account for, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the first map in the LOUD vs. FURIA Esports match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates what the market believes is the probability of a specific team winning Map 1.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of Map 1 in the LOUD vs. FURIA Esports match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that wins the first map will be the winning outcome for this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable information to ensure an accurate and transparent result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for LOUD or FURIA could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches leading up to this event might also impact perceptions of team strength. Additionally, in-game performance during the early stages of the match, if available, could quickly move the market as traders react to real-time developments. Public opinion and analyst predictions can also contribute to price movements.