TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 3:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the Lotte Giants and KT Wiz. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed certain thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams in a single match.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Lotte Giants and KT Wiz in their KBO game scheduled for October 5, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined runs exceed its specified threshold—5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately based on the actual run total from the game. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often providing a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial sportsbook lines often influence early trading in this market. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the incentives of participants – sportsbooks aim to profit, while prediction market traders aim to accurately forecast the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total run outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined by supply and demand; if more traders believe a higher total run outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase. Conversely, if traders anticipate a lower total, those contracts will become cheaper. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of the event’s probability.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Lotte Giants versus KT Wiz game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The total runs scored, including those from both teams, will be the deciding factor for settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total runs will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Lotte Giants or KT Wiz would likely cause movement. Weather forecasts, particularly if rain is predicted, could also significantly impact the market, as weather can affect scoring. Additionally, late-breaking news about pitching matchups or team strategies could shift market sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also trigger price fluctuations in this market.