TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:20 AM EST
Kalshi
Lotte Giants and KT Wiz meet in a professional Korean baseball game, and the first inning will reveal if either team scores runs, shaping the early dynamics of the match.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Lotte Giants vs KT Wiz professional Korea KBO baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the probability of a first inning run. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially when there's significant public interest and trading volume. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk assessments, and it's always wise to compare both to inform your decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a run will be scored in the first inning. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of a first inning run in the Lotte Giants versus KT Wiz game. The current price indicates the market's collective expectation.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether a run is scored during the first inning of the Lotte Giants versus KT Wiz game. Official game statistics from a reputable source will be used to determine if a run was scored, and this information will be used to settle the contracts on Kalshi. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the starting pitchers for either the Lotte Giants or the KT Wiz, such as injury reports or changes in form, could significantly shift the odds. Weather conditions at the game location are also a key consideration, as rain or wind could impact scoring. Finally, general market sentiment and large trading volume from informed participants can also cause price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.