TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 9:04 AM EST
Kalshi
In a high-stakes KBO matchup, the Lotte Giants and Doosan Bears will face off, with the total number of runs scored by both teams being a key point of interest for fans and analysts.
The market resolves to Yes if the Lotte Giants and Doosan Bears collectively score more than the specified number of runs (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5) in their game scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, with higher thresholds requiring more runs to be scored. The outcomes are determined solely by the final score of the game, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likely total runs scored. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has identified a mispricing. It's worth comparing the two to see where the perceived value lies for this particular game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total run outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific run total, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the game approaches. The current price reflects the market’s best estimate of the likelihood of each total runs outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Lotte Giants versus Doosan Bears game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the correct total runs scored, and 0 for all other outcomes. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Lotte Giants or the Doosan Bears would likely have an impact. Weather conditions at the game location are also a significant factor, as rain or wind could affect scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking news about pitching matchups or team strategies could shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause rapid price fluctuations, reflecting a change in market perception.