TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:22 PM EST
Kalshi
The market determines the winner of the LOTTE Championship presented by Hoakalei, a prestigious women's professional golf tournament. Contracts resolve based on whether a specified golfer claims the championship title, reflecting performance in a competitive sporting event.
Contracts resolve to Yes only if the specified golfer wins the LOTTE Championship presented by Hoakalei. If any golfer listed as a potential winner forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate before teeing off, all Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets resolve to No. For other market types — Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball — contracts resolve to Fair Market Value. These rules ensure fair resolution under various scenarios, protecting both participants and integrity of the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market tends to aggregate information from a wider range of participants. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate forecasts of the actual outcome, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly early in the market, as bettors and traders weigh different factors.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the LOTTE Championship is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results from the tournament will be used to determine the winning golfer. The market will settle to 100 for the winning golfer and 0 for all others. Traders holding contracts for the winner will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing golfers will not. It’s important to monitor the tournament’s progress as it nears the resolution date.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding a golfer’s health, form, or withdrawal from the tournament would likely cause price shifts. Strong performances in preceding tournaments, changes in weather conditions at Hoakalei, and even social media sentiment can all influence trading activity. Unexpected pairings for the final rounds could also move the market. Major upsets during the early rounds of the championship would likely lead to substantial adjustments in the odds for the remaining contenders.