TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific in-game performance metrics between two professional League of Legends teams during a scheduled match. The outcome depends on whether predefined thresholds of strategic actions—tower kills—are met by either team within the designated game. The event reflects the competitive dynamics and strategic gameplay inherent in professional esports matches.
The event resolves based on whether LOS achieves at least six tower kills or Team Liquid achieves at least seven tower kills in Game 2 of the specified Worlds 2026 match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before any relevant statistics are recorded, or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the last fair price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, shortened, or replayed, resolution is determined by officially recorded statistics up to the point of interruption, provided they are not voided by the governing body. Only statistics from officially counted play are considered, with voided portions excluded.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and may reflect information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks focus on implied probability based on set odds, this market allows for more nuanced predictions based on a continuous flow of information and participant analysis. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at various price points, indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders regarding the potential for different tower kill totals in the match. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new data.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final tower kills count from Game 2 of the LOS versus Team Liquid match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official game data, ensuring an objective and accurate determination of the result. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the official results are available, and payouts will be processed accordingly. The outcome will be determined by the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either LOS or Team Liquid could shift expectations. In-game performance during the first game of the series, if played before resolution, would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected drafts or early game advantages could also cause the market to react. Furthermore, general sentiment within the League of Legends community, as expressed on social media and esports news sites, can contribute to price movements in this market.