TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team secures the first kill in the second game of a professional League of Legends match between LOS and Team Liquid. The outcome depends on the performance of the players during the early stages of the game, reflecting strategic positioning and execution.
If LOS records the first blood in game 2 of the Worlds 2026: LOS vs. Team Liquid League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Team Liquid records the first blood in game 2 of the Worlds 2026: LOS vs. Team Liquid League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Neither team records the first blood in game 2 of the Worlds 2026: LOS vs. Team Liquid League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, the odds here can diverge. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially when there's strong public interest and informed trading activity surrounding an event like the LOS vs. Team Liquid match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a highly liquid and efficient market, providing a clear signal of expectations for who will secure the first blood in Game 2 of the series. The current market indicates a strong level of interest in the potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, resolution will depend on which team—LOS or Team Liquid—secures the first ‘First Blood’ in Game 2 of their League of Legends match. The determination will be based on official game data and broadcasts, ensuring an accurate and transparent result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions shortly after the game concludes and the results are officially announced.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either LOS or Team Liquid could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during Game 1 of the series will likely have a significant impact, as it provides insight into each team’s current strengths and weaknesses. Major upsets in other professional League of Legends matches could also affect overall confidence in certain teams or playstyles, influencing trading activity and the price of contracts in this market.