TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two teams in an esports match, focusing on how many times each team eliminates opponents' characters. The outcome depends on whether either team reaches a specific threshold of eliminations within the first game of the match. The result is determined by official game statistics and accounts for potential match disruptions such as postponements or cancellations.
The event resolves based on whether LOS records at least 13 champion kills or Team Liquid records at least 14 champion kills in Game 1 of the specified match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before any relevant statistics are recorded, or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the last fair price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, shortened, or replayed, the resolution uses officially recorded statistics up to the point of disruption, excluding any voided portions. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds influenced by house biases or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd and professional bettors diverge in their assessments of the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different kill totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final kill totals from Game 1 of the LOS versus Team Liquid match are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded kill counts from the League of Legends match. Any disputes or discrepancies will be addressed using publicly available game data to ensure an accurate and fair outcome. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual result of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either LOS or Team Liquid could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the game’s conditions or map selection could also play a role. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders or large volume spikes could indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 30, 2026.