TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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LOS vs. Team Liquid: Game 1 First Dragon
kalshi

What is the result of LOS vs. Team Liquid?

Volume:
$1,603

Team Liquid

 - Kalshi

Team Liquid - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 4:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Team Liquid

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$842
N/A
N/A
$624
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Neither team

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$535
N/A
N/A
$535
Settled
No
kalshi

LOS

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
$225
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market focuses on predicting which team will secure the first dragon in the first game of a League of Legends match between LOS and Team Liquid at the 2026 Worlds tournament. The outcome depends on in-game team performance at the start of the match.

Kalshi

If LOS records the first dragon in game 1 of the Worlds 2026: LOS vs. Team Liquid League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Team Liquid records the first dragon in game 1 of the Worlds 2026: LOS vs. Team Liquid League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Neither team records the first dragon in game 1 of the Worlds 2026: LOS vs. Team Liquid League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the League of Legends First Dragon market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the probability of each team securing first dragon, along with a historical chart showing how those prices have changed over time. The current 24-hour volume is displayed, indicating how much trading activity has occurred recently. Currently, the total volume for this market is $1,603 and the 24-hour volume is $1,068.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available and opinions shift, the odds on Kalshi can diverge from, or converge with, sportsbook offerings. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially as event time approaches, due to the continuous flow of information and diverse perspectives incorporated into the pricing.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event's outcome. The market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges and traders update their assessments, leading to a real-time probability assessment of which team will secure the first dragon.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official game logs determining which team secured the first dragon in the match between LOS and Team Liquid. The official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will not.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either LOS or Team Liquid could all shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during the early stages of the match, such as early game kills or objective control, could also cause significant price movement. Analyst predictions and public opinion, while not directly reflected in the market, can indirectly influence trader behavior. Any significant development related to the teams or the game itself has the potential to move this market before Oct 30, 2026.