TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Kalshi:

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LOS vs. Team Liquid: Game 1 Dragon Kills
kalshi

What is the result of LOS vs. Team Liquid?

Volume:
$248

LOS: 3+

 - Kalshi

LOS: 3+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 4:42 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

LOS: 3+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
$116
Settled
Yes
kalshi

LOS: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
$44
Settled
Yes
kalshi

LOS: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
$44
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Team Liquid: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
$44
Settled
Yes
kalshi

LOS: 4+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Team Liquid: 2+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Team Liquid: 3+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Team Liquid: 4+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the performance of LOS and Team Liquid in the first game of their League of Legends match at the Worlds 2026 tournament. It focuses on how many times each team secures dragon kills, which are key in-game objectives that can shift the balance of power.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the number of dragon kills achieved by LOS or Team Liquid in game 1 of their Worlds 2026 match scheduled for October 30, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of dragon kills for either team. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before any relevant statistics are recorded, all markets resolve to the last fair price. If the match begins but is later forfeited, shortened, or replayed, resolution relies on officially published statistics at the time of the event, excluding any voided portions. The governing body's official statistics determine the outcome, with Kalshi emphasizing its lack of affiliation with the League.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the League of Legends Dragon Kills market displays the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $138, and the total volume traded on this market is $182. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and track activity leading up to the match between LOS and Team Liquid. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how people are predicting the number of dragons killed in Game 1.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and expert analysis, this market can quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, player matchups, or even unforeseen circumstances impacting the game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts. The price of a contract represents the implied probability of a specific outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels—indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of dragons killed in Game 1 of the match between LOS and Team Liquid will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payouts on Kalshi shortly after the game concludes, allowing for a clear and definitive settlement of all contracts.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player availability—injuries or unexpected roster changes for either LOS or Team Liquid—would likely have a significant impact. In-game performance during the early stages of the match, such as early dragon kills or dominant lane matchups, could also shift trader sentiment. Analyst predictions and community discussions surrounding team strategies and potential draft compositions can also contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about game patches or server issues could also introduce volatility into this market.