TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
The scheduled match features two teams competing in a professional baseball game. Weather conditions could potentially impact the timing of the contest, altering its original date. The outcome of the game itself depends on the performance of the participating teams under those conditions.
If there is any delay due to weather in the Los Angeles vs Atlanta Pro Baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may prioritize balancing their book and incorporating a profit margin, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of a weather delay. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when new information emerges or public perception shifts. Examining both sets of odds can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential for a weather delay impacting the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a weather delay will occur during the Los Angeles vs Atlanta game. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, creating a dynamic price that aggregates the collective intelligence of the market participants. The current price indicates what the market, as a whole, believes is the chance of a delay.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether a weather delay of at least five minutes occurs during the scheduled game time between the Los Angeles and Atlanta teams. Official game reports and weather data will be used to determine if a qualifying delay took place. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual occurrence, or non-occurrence, of a significant weather delay during the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Changes in the weather forecast for Los Angeles and Atlanta are the most obvious catalyst; increasing probabilities of rain, thunderstorms, or severe weather will likely drive up the price of contracts predicting a delay. News reports about potential travel disruptions or stadium preparations related to weather could also influence trading activity. Even seemingly minor updates, like adjustments to the game’s start time due to anticipated conditions, could cause shifts in market sentiment and price movements.