TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the point differential outcome of an upcoming professional football game between Los Angeles R and Philadelphia. It categorizes possible score margins to determine the resolution, reflecting how decisively one team might win or if the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the point differential between Los Angeles R and Philadelphia in their full game, including overtime, scheduled for October 4, 2026. If Philadelphia wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), or by scores ranging from 1 to 6, 7 to 14, or 15 or more points, the respective markets resolve to Yes. Similarly, if Los Angeles R wins by 1 to 6, 7 to 14, or 15 or more points, those markets resolve to Yes. Each rule defines a specific range of point differentials that trigger a Yes outcome for that market, covering all possible winning margins and a tie scenario.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that margin occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus on the likely winning margin.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final winning margin of the Los Angeles R vs Philadelphia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the sport. The contract corresponding to the actual winning margin will pay out, while all other contracts will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, shifts in public perception based on analyst predictions, and the release of updated statistics are all potential catalysts that could lead to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 4, 2026.