TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Xavier Smith scores one or more touchdowns in the Los Angeles R versus Philadelphia professional football game. Currently, the probability of Xavier Smith scoring 1+ touchdowns is 4.0%, while the probability of Johnny Mundt scoring 2+ touchdowns is 1.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Johnny Mundt scores at least one touchdown in the game, as determined by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 4, 2026, as that is when this market will be resolved based on touchdown performance.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players or defensive units score at least one touchdown during the specified game. If a participant is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes any snap—regardless of whether the play is later nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual touchdown scoring outcome. These rules ensure fair settlement even when game participation is uncertain prior to kickoff.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from participants. If sportsbook odds suggest a high probability of a certain outcome, you might see a similar trend in this market, but the prices will be determined by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi. Differences can emerge due to varying levels of information or differing interpretations of the same data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential number of touchdowns in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Los Angeles R versus Philadelphia game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. This resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at the time of resolution, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Los Angeles R or Philadelphia teams would likely cause significant movement, as this directly impacts the potential for scoring. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking analysis from football experts or unexpected shifts in public sentiment could influence trading activity and, consequently, the price of contracts within this market.