TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific Los Angeles R players achieve designated yardage thresholds in a football game against Philadelphia. The outcome depends on individual player performance metrics, focusing on combined rushing and receiving yards.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered on whether Saquon Barkley or Kyren Williams achieve specified combined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds in the Los Angeles R vs Philadelphia game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Each market defines a unique yardage benchmark (90+, 115+, or 140+ for Barkley; 80+, 105+, or 130+ for Williams) that must be met or exceeded for resolution as 'Yes.' If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all defined yardage thresholds for each player, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each market.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on news and betting patterns, but this market allows traders to incorporate a wider range of information and make independent assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts the perceived probability of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Saquon Barkley will exceed 140+ combined rushing and receiving yards. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, driven by the collective insights of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics for the Los Angeles R vs Philadelphia game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yardage for Saquon Barkley will be used to determine whether the 140+ yard threshold has been met. The resolution will reflect the official game data as reported by the NFL.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding Saquon Barkley’s health, such as an injury report or confirmation of his playing status, would be a major catalyst. Changes in the opposing team’s defensive strategy or key player injuries could also shift expectations. Furthermore, weather conditions on game day, particularly if they are expected to impact the running game, could influence trading activity and the price of contracts in this market.