TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific Los Angeles Rams players in an upcoming game against the Philadelphia Eagles. Each market focuses on a different player, allowing participants to speculate on individual performance metrics. Payouts are directly tied to the total receptions recorded by the named player during the game.
These markets resolve based on the number of receptions recorded by specified Los Angeles Rams players during the game against the Philadelphia Eagles scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market operates as a scalar contract where Yes payouts are calculated at $0.05 per reception, up to a maximum of $1.00, corresponding to a cap of 20 receptions. The No payout is determined by subtracting the Yes payout from $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, meaning that if a player records, for example, eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60. If a player records zero receptions, the Yes payout is $0.00 and the No payout is $1.00. All markets are independent, each resolving based solely on the reception count of the designated player, with Kalshi explicitly stating it is not affiliated with the NFL.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes—in this case, whether a player will exceed a certain number of receptions. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official NFL statistics for the game between Los Angeles R and Philadelphia will be used to determine which players exceeded their respective reception ladders. The resolution will be based on the final, official game statistics as reported by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries – particularly to key receivers or quarterbacks – would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they predict inclement conditions, could also influence the expected passing volume and therefore reception totals. Additionally, late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching strategies could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity itself can move the market, as large trades can signal informed opinions and trigger further reactions.