TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Los Angeles and Philadelphia. Payouts are determined by how many receiving yards each player accumulates during the match, with higher yardage leading to greater returns for 'Yes' contracts. 'No' contracts receive the difference between a fixed payout and the 'Yes' payout.
The event consists of four separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s receiving yardage performance in the Los Angeles R vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. For each market, 'Yes' contracts pay out based on a tiered schedule that increases with every 10 receiving yards the designated player achieves, capped at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula is calculated as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y is derived from the official receiving yards (s), adjusted to a maximum of 200 and a minimum of 0. 'No' contracts pay $1.00 minus the 'Yes' payout, and any negative receiving yardage results in a $0.00 payout for 'Yes' contracts. Each market resolves independently to 'Yes' after the game, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official affiliation with the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likely outcome. You may find that this market offers a different perspective on the probability of various receiving yardage totals compared to what is offered at sportsbooks. It’s worth comparing to see where the discrepancies lie and potentially identify value.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Los Angeles R versus Philadelphia game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage totals for the relevant players will be used to determine which contracts payout. The market will settle based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key receivers or the opposing team’s defensive strategies could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching decisions could lead to adjustments in the prices of contracts within this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding market movements.