TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined receiving yard milestones. The outcomes are determined by actual game statistics, with specific provisions for player availability and participation.
All markets refer to the Los Angeles R vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records the stated minimum receiving yards during the game. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on actual receiving yards recorded. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance against the defined thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely trade based on their own analysis and information. This can lead to prediction market prices that are more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, creating discrepancies. It’s common to see differences, particularly in niche markets or when significant news breaks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to set prices efficiently, as they can profit by correctly predicting the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each potential result, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely receiving yardage total.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL following the completion of the game between Los Angeles R and Philadelphia. Any adjustments or corrections made by the NFL will be reflected in the final resolution of this market. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any associated payouts after the official data is available.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key receivers on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather conditions expected during the game. Unexpected starting quarterback changes or shifts in offensive play-calling strategies could also influence the perceived likelihood of different yardage totals. News regarding defensive matchups or a team’s overall offensive performance in recent games could also shift trader sentiment. Any significant news related to player availability or game strategy has the potential to move prices in this market.