TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific passing yard thresholds for key quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. It allows participants to speculate on whether the players will meet or exceed certain yardage benchmarks during the match. The outcome depends solely on the players' performance in terms of passing yards.
The event evaluates whether designated quarterbacks achieve specified passing yard thresholds in the Los Angeles R vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular player and yardage mark, resolving to Yes if the player records at least the stated number of passing yards. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent settlement criteria for each specified threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and evolving information. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges, such as player injuries or weather forecasts. Polls and analysts often underestimate the impact of unforeseen events, something this market can react to more quickly.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (believing the passing yards will exceed a certain threshold) or sell 'no' contracts (believing they will fall short). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively representing the market’s collective probability assessment. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of exceeding that yardage total. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage statistics for the Los Angeles R versus Philadelphia game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage total, as recorded by the official league statistics, will determine which contracts settle at $100 and which settle at $0. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payouts shortly after the game concludes and the official data is released. This market’s resolution is based on the official game statistics.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health – for either Los Angeles R or Philadelphia – would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly wind or rain, could also shift expectations about passing yardage. Unexpected announcements about key receiver injuries or changes in offensive play-calling strategies would likely cause movement. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding defensive matchups or coaching adjustments could impact how traders assess the potential for passing success in this game.