TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Los Angeles and Las Vegas. Participants bet on whether specified players will meet certain rushing yard thresholds. Payouts vary based on the actual rushing yards each player achieves during the game.
Contracts in this market pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players during the specified Pro Football game. Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 for every rushing yard recorded by its assigned player, capped at $1.00, which corresponds to a maximum of 400 yards. The No contract pays the remainder, such that the total payout for any position always equals $1.00. Payouts are scalar and proportional to yardage, meaning they scale linearly with performance up to the cap. For instance, 80 yards yield a Yes payout of $0.20 and a No payout of $0.80, while zero yards result in a full $1.00 No payout. The structure ensures that outcomes reflect the exact yardage achieved by each player within the defined limits.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the rushing yards ladder. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. You can view the order book depth to see the current bids and asks, and understand the potential price movement. The market's price reflects the collective belief of all traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Los Angeles R versus Las Vegas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals, as reported by the official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The market will settle based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the market's resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow is predicted, could influence the game plan and favor a more run-heavy approach. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategy could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or team dynamics could cause significant price fluctuations as traders adjust their expectations before the market closes.