TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Los Angeles and Las Vegas by tracking their rushing yards. The payout structure incentivizes predicting both the exact yardage and the relative success of each player's performance. Contracts adjust payouts based on how many rushing yards each player accumulates during the game.
Contracts in this market pay out based on the rushing yards achieved by designated players in the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each Yes contract for a player pays according to a tiered schedule that increases with every 10-yard increment in rushing yards, capped at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling function to determine the precise Yes payout, calculated as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y equals the minimum of 200 and the product of 10 and the integer division of official rushing yards by 10. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the corresponding Yes payout, with negative rushing yard totals resulting in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. The structure ensures that payouts reflect both absolute yardage and relative performance within the defined tiers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that total occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi, and does not directly correlate to any external factors beyond the information available to those traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Los Angeles R versus Las Vegas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics published by the NFL, and will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final settlement price and receive payouts based on their positions in the market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players on either team, particularly running backs and offensive linemen, would be major catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or snow, could also influence the expected rushing yardage. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding play-calling strategies, or even in-game adjustments, could shift expectations. Finally, any news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could indirectly affect performance and, therefore, the market price.