TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve particular rushing yard milestones. Bettors can speculate on the likelihood of these benchmarks being met, reflecting both player potential and game dynamics.
All markets resolve based on whether the named player records the specified rushing yard threshold during the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas professional football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the total rushing yards they record in that game. All outcomes are independent, meaning each threshold (e.g., 30+, 40+, etc.) has its own resolution criteria, and achieving a lower threshold does not automatically satisfy a higher threshold market.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the likely rushing yardage total. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the crowd believes the value lies compared to traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth indicates the volume of contracts available at various price points, offering insights into potential liquidity and price stability. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final rushing yardage total.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics from the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the total combined rushing yards achieved by both the Los Angeles R and Las Vegas teams during the game. Any overtime periods will be included in the final tally. The platform will then determine the winning contracts based on the verified total, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to contract holders.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to game day. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies or coaching decisions. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially favoring a run-heavy approach. Unexpected news regarding player suspensions or rule changes could also cause shifts in the market. Finally, any late-breaking analysis from football experts or analysts could impact trader sentiment and drive price movements.