TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific Los Angeles Rams players in an upcoming game against the Las Vegas Raiders. Participants can bet on whether each designated player will achieve a certain number of receptions, with payouts scaling based on the actual reception counts recorded during the match.
The event consists of four separate scalar markets, each focusing on a different Los Angeles Rams player’s reception performance in the game against the Las Vegas Raiders scheduled for October 25, 2026. For each player market, Yes contracts pay $0.05 per reception recorded, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 20 receptions. The No contracts pay the remainder of the $1.00 stake after the Yes payout is applied. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size and adjust dynamically based on the actual number of receptions. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60. If zero receptions are recorded, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays the full $1.00. All markets operate independently, and each resolves based solely on the reception count of its respective player. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NFL, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about player performance. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the dynamics of how each venue attracts its participants. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, sometimes leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the NFL receptions ladder. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic representation of expectations. Traders can set their own buy and sell orders, influencing the market price based on their individual analysis and risk tolerance.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final player reception statistics for the season are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on officially recorded NFL statistics, determining which players have achieved the reception totals specified in the market’s contract definitions. The final standings will be assessed against official league data to determine the winners and losers of each contract within this market, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of key receivers can drastically alter expectations. Unexpected breakout performances from lesser-known players could also drive price movements. Changes in team offensive schemes, quarterback performance, or even weather conditions affecting passing games can all influence trader sentiment. News regarding player trades or coaching decisions could also lead to shifts in the market, as traders adjust their assessments of each player’s opportunities throughout the season.