TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players achieve designated receiving yard thresholds in an upcoming professional football game. It focuses on individual performance metrics for designated players, resolving based on their actual in-game statistics. The outcome depends purely on the players' ability to meet or exceed set yardage benchmarks during the contest.
The event evaluates whether designated players achieve specific receiving yard thresholds in the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records the stated number of receiving yards or more during the game, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the receiving yards actually recorded during the game. These rules apply independently to each player’s market, with all outcomes determined solely by the players’ performance metrics and snap participation status.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential receiving yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the likely total receiving yards.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals from the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, and will reflect the combined receiving yards of all players on both teams. The final price of contracts in this market will then reflect the actual outcome, allowing traders to realize their gains or losses based on their predictions.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions, could also influence expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about defensive strategies or matchups could shift the market as traders reassess the potential for passing yardage. Even general sentiment and public perception, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.