TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets focus on predicting whether specific Los Angeles R quarterbacks will surpass various passing yard thresholds in an upcoming game against Las Vegas. Outcomes depend entirely on actual performance metrics during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether the named Los Angeles R quarterback records the specified passing yard threshold in the game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a snap is taken — even if later nullified by penalty — resolution depends solely on the actual passing yards achieved during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage thresholds for both Kirk Cousins and Matthew Stafford.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public perception shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders to buy or sell at specific prices, or market orders to execute trades immediately at the best available price. The more traders who believe a particular team will exceed a certain passing yardage total, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing yardage totals for both teams are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics reported by the NFL following the completion of the game between Los Angeles R and Las Vegas. The team with the higher official passing yardage total will be declared the winner of this market, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or play-calling tendencies, as revealed through media reports or coaching statements, could prompt traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.