TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:57 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of quarterback Kirk Cousins in a specific football game between Los Angeles and Las Vegas. They focus on whether he throws a certain number of passing touchdowns during the match. The outcomes depend entirely on his in-game statistics.
The markets evaluate whether Kirk Cousins throws a specified minimum number of passing touchdowns in the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of passing touchdowns (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+). If Cousins is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle to their fair market price as determined before the game begins. Once Cousins takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by a penalty—the markets resolve strictly based on the total number of passing touchdowns he records during the game. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that there's a strong conviction among traders about a particular outcome. It’s common to see the two converge as the event approaches, but often, the prediction market offers a unique perspective on the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the NFL passing touchdowns market, and the prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, offering a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for efficient discovery of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored by each team in the game between Los Angeles R and Las Vegas will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players, particularly quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that favor passing or running, could also impact the market. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception, influenced by expert analysis and media coverage, can also play a role in driving price fluctuations in this market.