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Closed: Oct 25, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the number of passing touchdowns Kirk Cousins will throw during the Los Angeles Rams versus Las Vegas Raiders football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the number of touchdowns required for a positive outcome.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if Kirk Cousins participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless he meets or exceeds the required number of passing touchdowns. If he participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event considers full game passing touchdowns including overtime.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for identifying potential mispricings and informed trading opportunities, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, not guarantees.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics for passing touchdowns scored during the game between Los Angeles R and Las Vegas. The final number of passing touchdowns will be sourced from official game data and used to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the data has been verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players, particularly quarterbacks, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that favor a passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, public perception and media coverage surrounding the teams and players involved can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and analysis.