TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:47 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Los Angeles R and Las Vegas. The outcomes depend on whether the designated players meet or exceed certain thresholds of pass attempts during the contest.
All markets resolve based on the total passing attempts recorded by the specified quarterback in the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If the named quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 31+, 36+, etc.), and if the quarterback meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. These rules apply independently to each market and quarterback, with no cross-market dependencies.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the crowd believes the value lies compared to professional oddsmakers. Keep in mind that both attempt to predict the same outcome, but through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing attempt totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own assessments of the game. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at various price points, indicating the level of conviction among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing attempt totals for the Los Angeles R versus Las Vegas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will reflect the actual number of passing attempts made during the game, regardless of the final score or any other game statistics. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either team would be a major catalyst, as it directly impacts the expected passing volume. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions unfavorable to passing, could also shift the market. Pre-game reports on offensive strategies or defensive matchups could also play a role. Finally, large-volume trades from informed participants on Kalshi could indicate a shift in sentiment and move the prices accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential market movements before the game concludes.