TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
The game includes a market on which team scores the first touchdown, adding significance to offensive breakthroughs and special teams plays.
If Las Vegas scores the first touchdown in the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Los Angeles R scores the first touchdown in the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team scores the first touchdown in the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the probability of each team scoring first. This can lead to differences in odds, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when there's strong public interest and active trading in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each team scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price discovery process, and the current prices reflect the collective assessment of all participants trading in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the game between Los Angeles R and Las Vegas. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an accurate and objective determination of the winning outcome. All information will be verified against credible public sources to ensure a fair and transparent resolution process for this market.
Several factors could significantly influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators could also sway market sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions. As the game approaches, any updates on player availability or team preparations will be closely watched and could lead to considerable movement in this market.