TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a specific football game between Los Angeles R and Las Vegas, excluding any overtime periods. It provides a way to bet on the momentum and performance of each team in the last quarter of play. If both teams score equally in the fourth quarter, the outcome is resolved as a tie.
If Las Vegas wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Los Angeles R wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly when there's strong public bias or uncertainty surrounding the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Los Angeles vs Las Vegas game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's accuracy, while significant price swings can signal new information or changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 4th quarter will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout of their contracts once the resolution is complete.
Several factors could influence the price of this market as we approach Oct 25, 2026. Unexpected injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would any major changes in team strategy or coaching decisions. News regarding player availability, weather conditions, or even public sentiment expressed through social media could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news or unforeseen circumstances during the game itself would also be key catalysts, potentially leading to rapid price adjustments.