TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the point differential in a specific quarter of a professional football game between Los Angeles R and Las Vegas. It allows participants to assess which team will dominate during that quarter based on scoring margins.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 2nd Quarter of the Los Angeles R vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that determines resolution: if Los Angeles R wins the quarter by exceeding the stated margin (ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points), the corresponding 'Los Angeles R wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Las Vegas wins the quarter by exceeding their respective margins (2.5 to 10.5 points), the relevant 'Las Vegas wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. No other factors, such as overall game outcome or other quarters' performance, influence resolution. Only points scored within the designated quarter count toward these outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and promotional considerations, while this market is driven purely by individuals forecasting the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely result, and potentially identify opportunities where the market perceives a mispricing relative to traditional sportsbooks. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Los Angeles vs Las Vegas spread. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at various price points – provides insight into the strength of conviction behind different predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly liquid and efficient market for forecasting the game’s second-quarter spread.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the second quarter of the game between Los Angeles and Las Vegas will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract's price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 26, 2026. News regarding player injuries to key players on either the Los Angeles or Las Vegas teams would certainly have an impact. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected lineup adjustments could also shift the perceived probabilities. Even broader factors, such as weather conditions on game day or significant shifts in public sentiment, may cause the market to react. Any updates that alter the perceived competitive balance between the two teams are likely to drive price movements in this market, as traders adjust their forecasts accordingly.