TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which player or defensive unit will score the first touchdown for the Las Vegas team in an upcoming professional football game against Los Angeles. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game performance.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or the Las Vegas defensive unit scores the first touchdown for Las Vegas in the designated game. If the designated participant is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to whether that participant scores the first Las Vegas touchdown. Importantly, if no touchdowns are scored by Las Vegas during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player and unit markets resolve to No. This structure ensures that all markets are resolved conclusively based on the game's offensive outcomes, with specific provisions for player participation and in-game scoring events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge toward a fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what percentage of the event’s outcome is already ‘priced in’ by the market, and any significant shifts in price suggest changing expectations among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which player scores the first touchdown for the Las Vegas team during the game. The official game statistics will serve as the source for determining the outcome of this market. Any disputes regarding the official scoring record will be evaluated based on publicly available information and standard football rules.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries to key offensive players on the Las Vegas team would likely shift probabilities. News regarding the opposing team’s defensive strategies or vulnerabilities could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might favor a particular offensive approach, impacting which player is more likely to score first. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching decisions could lead to substantial price movements in this market.